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Old 06-20-2009, 12:23 PM
jOHN rODRIGUEZ
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Join Date: Sep 2005
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Posts: 3,572
Re: election in iran
Quote:
Originally Posted by cured View Post
C'mon Sean, what do you think of the "investigation"? Here's the problems with that:

1) Ballots were most likely destroyed, if not stored elsewhere
2) Who would conduct the recount, if there is one? Surely the same people who counted them in the first place, right?
3) Who does it serve if the investigation/recount turned up a different winner? There'd be widespread chaos. At worst, Ahmedinejad would lose a chunk of percentage points but remain comfortably over 50%.

I believe Khamenei has really misjudged this situation and is flailing at focusing the blame elsewhere. By directing some of it on the protesters, it only serves to prove, in their minds, that what they're doing is right and they need to push on.

If Khamenei wants to survive this process, he'll have to make a lot of concessions, but at this point I don't think he can do enough to reverse his stature, based on his last 2 speeches.
The round of applause chanting, "Death to America, Death to America" and "Death to Isreal, Death to Isreal" could not help too much either.
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