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Hamas announces 6-month truce with Israel
Now I don't want to sound overly-cynical, but whenever I hear those phrases "Hamas announces truce" or "Hamas announces ceasefire", it always seems to be followed (within days) by some kind of Israeli assault, resulting in said 'truce' in shreds.
Am I suggesting deliberate coercion by elements within Israel to keep Hamas as the enemy? No, not at all. I'd want more to go on before arriving at that conclusion. However... (!) I have to be honest and admit, it's been a pattern I've noticed enough times as to warrant me posting my concerns here, so let's just see what happens. Hopefully I'll be proven wrong this time. And if I am, I'll take note of it. (In the interest of balance, I would add that whenever sensitive negotiations are taking place between the two sides, these are similarly sabotaged by elements of the Palestinian side. But then we all knew that anyway.) |
Re: Hamas announces 6-month truce with Israel
Prelude to a military conflict. Whoever blinks first is going to have the other all over them in very short order.
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Re: Hamas announces 6-month truce with Israel
Can I ban people for being stupid?
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Forget it. You're right. It's all Israel's fault.
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Re: Hamas announces 6-month truce with Israel
Certainly the last few times (which doesn't equal a historical 'always', I'll give you that) that I've felt a tinge of optimism, it seems to have been Israel in the news days later getting heavy handed, and the 'brink' is lost.
Much as I'd love to dig out sources, I'm going purely on the memory of reading those stories and thinking to myself, "Christ, Israel, what a lousy time to go and do something like that". Naturally you're free to speculate on whether my memory is selective and being influenced by a fixed pro-Palestinian (or anti-Israel) bias, and I imagine that no amount of me denying that will convince you otherwise if you've already made up your mind. What I will say to you Jason, is that if you think I believe the current mess is "all Israel's fault" - or even the majority of it is Israel's fault - then you're very much mistaken, and being rather stupid yourself. |
Re: Hamas announces 6-month truce with Israel
Seems they are also calling for talks on Lebanon too now, which is interesting.
An article in the Jerusalem Post seems to be pre-empting a potential terrorist attack by other factions in the run-up to the Hamas truce that might require a "response", however. And the head of Military Intelligence seems to be looking on the bright side too :rolleyes:: Quote:
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oh look, another hypersensitive tussle over israel and palestine.
GB2youtube |
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BB - gosh, very kind. :D |
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Here's how it starts (from the BBC):
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In those circumstances, what you would expect - and hope for - is for the democractically elected element, the official party, Hamas, to condemn those attacks being carried out against Israel. Yet when it's done this on several occasions in the past, it's been met with Israeli insistence that Hamas control all the terrorists, or else "Israel will respond". Now this is what I think is reckless, "deliberately naive" I'm tempted to call it. And this is the point at which it becomes necessary for me to repeat the phrase, to understand is not to condone* (and I can't emphasize that strongly enough)... Controlling those renegade elements, or whatever you want to call them (terrorists), inevitably becomes much harder (though NO LESS NECESSARY) when the inequality of the two sides becomes more apparent. Since the last ceasefire collapsed in April 2007, 14 Israelis and about 600 Palestinians have been killed in fighting between the two sides. That's not to turn it into a pissing contest, but when you combine that fairly consistent inbalance with the structural difference, the vast inequality in living conditions between everyday people of both sides, and the overwhelming sense of powerlessness, surely it's inevitable that anger from the Palestinian side is going to run so much deeper and be more widespread, likely spilling over into terrorist activity from more extreme elements, than from the Israeli side? (That's not even going into the longstanding sense of anger at Israel's perceived 'land grab' in the first place). I repeatedly ask myself, is it really that hard to grasp that the only way to maintain negotiations and secure peace is for the official parties of those negotiations to accept that there will almost certainly continue to be terrorist activity carried out to try to stall that process, not officially sanctioned but from certain groups out of the control of the official organisations. And for the reasons mentioned above, that will mostly come from the Palestinian side - not because Palestinians are somehow genetically more pre-disposed to violence, not because they're "the baddies", the unciviilised natives - but for reasons of organisation and anger that are intrinsically different to what Israel faces. What is surely incumbent upon those at the top is to condemn such activity whenever it happens, and to only take 'defensive measures' when that is genuinely what they are - as opposed to tit-for-tat (or rather tit-for-tat-tat-tat-tat-tat-tat) vengeance. It continually saddens me that official representatives of both sides so often seem to allow the peace process (and that's the key - it is a PROCESS) to slip away. (* For the benefit of anyone who needs to hear me say it, of course rocket launches and market bombings and other indiscriminate violence are utterly deserving of condemnation, and by far the people to condemn the strongest are the terrorists. :rolleyes: ) |
Re: Hamas announces 6-month truce with Israel
I've just read that apparently the ceasefire doesn't apply in the West Bank. Now that could spell trouble should a Palestinian or an Israeli be killed there.....
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Re: Hamas announces 6-month truce with Israel
It's already starting to fray a bit. Both sides blaming the other...
"Earlier, Palestinian militants fired three homemade rockets into southern Israel, the first such attack since a cease-fire between Israel and Gaza militants took effect last week. Israel condemned the attack as a "gross violation" of the truce, but did not say whether it would retaliate. The barrage wounded two people and capped a day of violence that presented the truce with its first serious test. Just before midnight, Palestinian militants fired a mortar shell into an empty area in southern Israel. And in a pre-dawn raid, Israeli troops killed two Palestinians in the West Bank city of Nablus. Islamic Jihad, a small armed group backed by Syria and Iran, claimed responsibility for the rocket fire. Although the West Bank is not included in the truce, the group said the Nablus raid had soured the atmosphere of calm. "We cannot keep our hands tied when this is happening to our brothers in the West Bank," the militant group said. Hamas spokesman Sami Abu Zuhri said the rocket attack came because of "Israeli provocation this morning" and added that Hamas was "committed to the calm." He said Hamas will talk with other factions and make sure they are committed, too." http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080624/...l_palestinians |
Re: Hamas announces 6-month truce with Israel
Depressing isn't it?
The issue (and possibly the confusion from my first post) is whether we include these Palestinian militant groups as part of Hamas, and whether it's realistic to expect Hamas to be able to control every militant group like this. "Hamas spokesman Sami Abu Zuhri said the rocket attack came because of "Israeli provocation this morning" and added that Hamas was "committed to the calm." OK, so Hamas haven't ordered it, nor are they supporting it (from the above statement). And obviously they can't be expected to guarantee that militants won't act to undermine their peace efforts. But it would be awfully useful if Hamas would actually come out and condemn these attacks, unequivocally. And Israel, for its part, needs to start acknowledging some distinction between those militants, and Hamas, otherwise there will absolutely NEVER be peace over there. Ever. Every time Hamas agrees a ceasefire, militants will go and do something, and Israel will respond in its usual heavy handed manner, and the whole thing will just keep going on. |
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Hey Deckard, got any more great predictions? I mean, you were so close this time. Just replace 'Israeli assault' with 'Palestinian assault' and you're there. |
Re: Hamas announces 6-month truce with Israel
This kind of reminds me of the IRA and the "Real" IRA at the time the Irish Troubles were coming to an end and negotiations were taking place. The IRA wanted dialogue and cease-fire, and the "Real" IRA were doing their damnedest to sabotage the process.
I am hoping that, in many respects, this is a good sign. As long as Israel hold their nerve and don't retaliate in an over-egged way. The cycle of violence has to be broken. History tells us that no amount of "an eye for an eye" or displays of force will ever do that. Sean: Yes you are right overall, except we don't know at this stage the unprovoked-ness or otherwise of the jihad rockets. The fact that the West Bank is not included in the cease-fire agreement is bizarre to say the least. I think I need to see a much bigger picture before I pronounce on it. |
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Oh please, just drop the antagonistic tone Jason. It only makes you come across as a dick - as does trying to reduce my position to a simple black and white "Israel = bad". I'm actually more than happy to have my mind changed on things, and when I do, it typically comes from constructive civil posts like Sean's rather than dickhead ones like yours. Dialogue and progess are funny things like that.
Sean, I largely agree with you, but I just think it's not the whole story. As BB says, the key challenge in any peace process is not to retaliate when militants (whether it's Islamic Jihad or the Real IRA) try to sabotage it. I understand retaliation to defend yourself, but when it's done in a tit-for-tat way, and when it undoes any progress that's been painstakingly made, the militants have won. It really is as simple as that. The fact that the militants are Palestinian (like the fact that the NI militants were Irish Republican) makes it hard for Israel, but it does not change that simple fact. BOTH parties – Israel AND Hamas – have to hold their nerve, and as BB says, not retaliate in an over-egged way. And yes, also unequivocably condemn (and take reasonable actions to stop) the actions of the militants. Had the Unionists always allowed terror attacks and assassinations by the Real IRA to derail the peace process, then we would not have the peace that we do now. Remember, we still don't have a United Ireland, but neither do we have the IRA letting off bombs in our cities. 20 years ago, that would have been unthinkable. |
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So what's the year long israeli economic blockade then? Even handed defense? So we can call suicide bombers of civilians terrorists but putting a knife to the throats of thousands of sick impoverished civilians isn't? chalk me up as someone else who doesn't get it mate Here's how I see it, which is exactly what Sean said, only it adds the, you know, the other fucking half of the story. That is not to say it contradicts Sean either. But it certainly seems to be contradicting you "It is high time that the leaders of Hamas and the Palestinian Authority (PA) took effective steps to prevent and punish attacks on civilians in Israel," said Malcolm Smart, "but their failure to do so does not make it legitimate for the Israeli authorities to launch reckless air and artillery strikes which wreak such death and destruction among Palestinian civilians. AND "Israel has a legal obligation to protect the civilian population of Gaza,” said Malcolm Smart, director of Amnesty International's Middle East and North Africa Programme. “These attacks are disproportionate and go beyond lawful measures which Israeli forces may take in response to rocket attacks by Palestinian armed groups." http://www.commondreams.org/news2008/0303-03.htm |
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Ah well - so much for common-sense prevailing :(
Israel closes Gaza after rockets Still, I guess it took the spotlight off Olmert and his alleged dodgy dealings for a few days.... and seems to have saved his political ass to fight another day. |
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Hamas leader Khalil al-Haya said the group remained committed to the six-day-old ceasefire with Israel and it had called on all Palestinian groups to respect it. However, he said that Hamas would not act as Israel's "police force" in confronting militants who breached the truce. So taking responsibility for and doing what you can to stop rockets being launched from Palestinian territories into Israel is considered acting as "Israel's 'police force'", and you'll have none of it? That's just some brazenly flawed thinking. You're the ruling party, Hamas! It's your freakin' responsibility to make sure attacks aren't being launched on Israel from your territory! I wish they'd tell us more about the Israeli raid in Gaza that supposedly sparked the rocket attacks. What were the goals that motivated it? How did the raid unfold that two people were killed? Who were the two people killed...militants or civilians? |
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This is the kind of bizarre political-speke that I just can't get to grips with: Quote:
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Found out more about the raid that supposedly sparked this whole tense situation. This is from Ynet news, which does tend to favor Israel in it's reporting. http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7...559494,00.html And just to round it out, here's a shamelessly pro-Palestinian account of it. I've gotta be honest, this account sounds like total BS propaganda to me: http://www.imemc.org/article/55617 |
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As for the two links, they are both likely to be biased one way or the other imo. Difficult to say what is happening overall. The bright side is that there don't appear to have been any incidents one way or another, or at least none that have made the mainstream news over here... so fingers crossed. |
Re: Hamas announces 6-month truce with Israel
I'd say this commentary on today's bulldozer attack (from Seth Freedman) is pretty much spot-on.
I was going to quote some of it, but there's too much I want to quote, so I'll just recommend you go read it if you get a moment. |
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because, for whatever level of clarity this online forum provides us, you seem to have a contrasting perspective and I'd like to understand it better. |
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Well I for one find some fundamental flaws in the author's assertions.
One, he writes that: Trade and Labour Minister Eli Yishai's on-the-scene response was to demand an immediate freeze on freedom of movement for Arab residents of East Jerusalem, as well as the predictable call for the terrorist's home to be demolished. Not for him the option of treating every criminal as an individual; instead, the attack was reason enough to tar all Arabs with the same brush. I don't believe that putting a freeze on the resident's "movements" inherently implies that Israel is painting "all arabs with the same brush". What it imlies to me is that since Palestinian authorities refuse to crack down on terrorist activities, Israel is forced to do something to protect themselves, and since they can't know who will be the next terrorist attacker, that means taking sweeping action. I'm not saying that what they're doing is right...I'm only saying that it's more an indication that they have no idea who will perpetrate the next attack than it is that they assume "all arabs must therefore be terrorists". In fact, the author himself even acknowledges this by saying: "branding an entire section of society as potential terrorists, and curtailing their freedoms, plays right into the hands of the extremists among them." So I think a more accurate wording would have been "all Palestinians in the area may potentially be terrorists". It's a possibility, not a certainty. Next, I take issue with the author's assertion that: "It's not because we're Jews; it's because of the relentless oppressive tactics employed by successive Israeli governments since the very foundation of the state." My understanding of the history does not support this statement. From Israel's inception, it has been under constant attack, which put it on defensive ground from the start. That's not to say that Israel has commited no offensive actions throughout the decades, but the author's statement implies that Israel was formed, and basically became instant and perpetual aggressors. I find this to be a flawed, inaccurate implication. I do, however, agree with his conclusion that "Vicious reprisals against the killer's family, mass restrictions of movement for all Arab residents of East Jerusalem, and revenge attacks on Palestinian towns and cities, are not the answer. Because when we crush their civilians' lives and livelihoods, the chances are that the radicals among them will do the same to us." I don't know what the realistic solution is, but I do still personally believe that if the Palestinian militants and terrorists laid down their weapons today, peace with Israel would ensue...but if Israel laid down it's weapons today, attacks on it would continue unabated until it was obliterated. |
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Add on top of this the fact that if you do see the chronology of bloodshed as israel being lopsidedly on the defensive, you're playing into the useful enemy model. Both sides of the fence have used the existence of the enemy to shoulder up support for corrupt politicians on their respective sides, causing as much internal damage for which the other side could only dream. It is because Israel is so terribly oppressive that hamas gets the power it does. And it is because palestinian terrorists are so awful that likud party takes control and ass hats like netanyahu, olmert, and sharon are allowed to ride rough shod over paletinian people while yitzhak rabin gets murdered by a fellow jew. This is why if you're Jason Roth and you care about the Israeli people first and fore most, your first task ought to be to figure out why the rest of the arab world feels about Israel the way americans feel about palestinians. The Israeli people don't benefit from the model where Israel is perpetually justified. The only people who benefit are the corrupt leaders and the starry eyed believers they manage to con. Quote:
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Yes, it's because Israel is so oppressive that things are the way they are. It's Israel who should be taking care of the Palestinians. Not Saudi Arabia, nor Iran, nor any of the other arab countries awash in oil money that should be helping out.
Have they built one hospital in the Palestinain territories? One school? One road? No. Trust me, I was just there. Other arab countries are using the Palestinian people as their sword against the Jews and have been for ages. They want them poor, and hungry, and angry and armed to the teeth. They fire missiles into Israel from residential neighborhoods so that when Israel retaliates and kills Palestinain citizens, the world sees Israel as the devil. And you buy into it every time. Grow up. PS - John Hagee is an end of days cult leader, nothing more. Grouping him in with Israelis who want to live in peace shows complete ignorance. |
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incidentally, you're right. hagee has absolutely nothing to do with peace loving jews. But he has everything to do with AIPAC. edit..... Quote:
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A French-brokered peace deal?
This is even more encouraging than the 6 month truce, imo. And the French are the right people to facilitate this too, imo. They don't have too much "baggage" with them to retain impartiality as moderators. |
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As long as the cheese from the surrender monkeys is both halal and kosher, I think we can do a deal.
We now return you to your regular programming. chuck. Who would dive in and get involved in this thread properly - but better people than me have said what needs to be said. |
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