View Full Version : Voters -- American Badasses
cured
11-03-2008, 11:55 AM
Let's see those electoral college predictions, people!
My tally is Obama 338 - McCain 200
Obama wins Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada
McCain wins North Carolina, Missouri, Indiana
cacophony
11-03-2008, 12:27 PM
i don't make my own predictions. i just go by what fivethirtyeight.com (http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/) tells me.
Troy McClure
11-03-2008, 02:07 PM
538.com is the bizness. I'll say 349 to 189 Obama.
In Arizona, the last series of polls show Obama fairly close to make it interesting. I helped with a 'GOtV' phone calling yesterday. According to the lady who was dropping off new call sheets, the AZ Democratic Party had a goal of calling 130,000 people between Saturday and today. On Saturday alone, 180,000 calls were made.
My grandma and step-mom are still registered Republicans, but voting for Obama tell me they only get robo-calls, no live person has called them about voting in the past 10 days.
Jason
gambit
11-03-2008, 02:08 PM
I think it'd be hilarious if Obama wins Arizona.
Troy McClure
11-03-2008, 02:23 PM
I think it'd be hilarious if Obama wins Arizona.
We are trying our best. Howard Dean was supposed to be in Tucson, Arizona today for GOtV support.
Wish us luck.
Jason
We are trying our best. Howard Dean was supposed to be in Tucson, Arizona today for GOtV support.
Wish us luck.
JasonGood luck!
I'm hoping for an electoral college result along the lines of Obama: 538, McCain: 0. Anything less would be unacceptable.
Seriously though, let's hope it's an electoral, as well as a clear popular win. The last thing we need is for the country to be able to justify continued divisions resulting from a super-tight race like we've had in recent elections.
bas_I_am
11-03-2008, 03:00 PM
We are trying our best. Howard Dean was supposed to be in Tucson, Arizona today for GOtV support.
there goes our chance of an arizona upset
jOHN rODRIGUEZ
11-03-2008, 03:24 PM
there goes our chance of an arizona upset
uuum, what about that 56 over in crunch?
cacophony
11-03-2008, 03:26 PM
it's surprising how hard mccain put a push on the TV ads over the weekend here. if mccain is having to push that hard in georgia days before the election, you know he's worried.
gambit
11-03-2008, 04:11 PM
it's surprising how hard mccain put a push on the TV ads over the weekend here. if mccain is having to push that hard in georgia days before the election, you know he's worried.He, or rather the GOP, is pushing hard with tv ads here in Montana, too. That's NOT a good sign for him.
cured
11-03-2008, 04:47 PM
Karl Rove released his final map and it looks exactly the same as mine.
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/images/2008/11/03/rovemapfinal1103.jpeg
IsiliRunite
11-03-2008, 10:23 PM
I realized recently that a larger percentage of eligible americans vote than united kingdom citizens do. Losers!
Too bad I have to go in at 4:30... :(
Troy McClure
11-04-2008, 12:47 AM
I found this via Huffington Post just now.
http://www.surveyusa.com/index.php/2008/11/03/mccain-510-electoral-votes-obama-28-how-the-map-looked-exactly-2-years-ago/
Exactly two years ago, SurveyUSA completed interviews with 600 voters in every state (30,000 total interviews), asking them how they would vote in a 2008 Presidential Election between John McCain and Barack Obama. Based on those interviews, SurveyUSA was able to report that:
In November 2006, Obama carried …
His home state of Illinois.
His birth state of Hawaii.
The District of Columbia.In November 2006, Obama got 28 total electoral votes.
In November 2006, John McCain carried 48 states, and rolled up 510 electoral votes.
How far has Barack Obama come in 24 months?
We’ll know for sure Tuesday night.
http://www.surveyusa.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/ecv-2006.png
viddy
11-04-2008, 11:47 AM
It took me 2 hours to vote. This is my first time voting, so I don't know if this is longer than usual. I seem to be getting the vibe that it is.
dubman
11-04-2008, 01:41 PM
there was no line at my polling place :(
then again i live in a cowtown.
Deckard
11-04-2008, 02:05 PM
From Justin Webb (http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/justinwebb/)'s BBC blog...
"Out and about this morning in Northern Virginia and DC I met all the expected enthusiasm, though no long lines - no signs of people turning up and going away again. But this fact in itself is causing concern among Democrats: where is the turnout, they murmur? Where is the record-breaking surge (I am talking now about Virginia in particular) which could propel Obama to the White House? The answer may well be that the surge came early. Or will come later. Or..."
Oh God.
I'm going to wake up tomorrow and be told that you guys somehow managed to re-elect George Bush, I just know it. :rolleyes:
gambit
11-04-2008, 02:13 PM
Well, a lot of people did vote early and with absentee ballots. Also, most people are working during the day.
There'll probably be an upswing after work at the end of the day. I know that's when I'll be going. But in a meeting I had this morning with 6 other people, I think three voted early. So maybe a big chunk has already voted.
Aside from that, I saw a polling place just down the street from work that had a pretty long line, and as the polls opened by my house there was a long line too. The line was gone a couple hours later though. We'll see, but I sure hope everyone's voting.
EDIT - Okay, here we go. The L.A. Times is reporting voters already turning out in record numbers (http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-voting5-2008nov05,0,3272163.story). By noon, 38.1% of L.A. County registered voters had already cast their ballots compared to 33.4% in 2004. That doesn't sound huge, but considering that there are 4.3 million registered voters here, that means an extra 202,100 people.
cured
11-04-2008, 02:47 PM
There are a LOT of people out there voting today, make no mistake about that.
I understand this guy is in the tank for Obama but check his blog:
http://www.andrewsullivan.com
he is posting messages from voters at the polling places.
cured
11-04-2008, 05:13 PM
I waited 0 seconds to vote. I guess I got there at the right time as night time voting tends to take awhile.
1 vote for Obama/Biden, check.
34958hq439-qjw9v5jq298v5j
11-04-2008, 10:08 PM
Looks like Obama is gonna win by even more than projected. I'm glad too, but at the same time I can't see how he could LOSE this election either. Way to go America!!
nosajmunson
11-04-2008, 11:42 PM
It took me 20 minutes to vote today. I spent the rest of my day taking folks who didn't have transportation to the polls. And making snacks for people standing in line. And guess what, it was worth every minute of it.
I am happy to say that Colorado is now a BLUE state. This is amazing considering groups like Focus on the Family & New Life Church are headquartered in Colorado Springs, CO (Where I live.)
I was worried about Colorado, but I must say that the Voters here kicked some ass.
cacophony
11-05-2008, 01:04 AM
It took me 20 minutes to vote today. I spent the rest of my day taking folks who didn't have transportation to the polls. And making snacks for people standing in line. And guess what, it was worth every minute of it.
good for you http://www.darktrain.org/dirty/forums/images/icons/icon14.gif
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